Signals and scoreboard
A signal is a public model output. We log it once, with the price at that moment. Then we record the price 1 h, 4 h, and 24 h later. Nothing is edited after the fact.
Signalsjust now
Scoreboardjust now
Hit rate by signal kind
just now| Kind | Signals | 1h hit | 4h hit | 24h hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stablecoin depeg | 1 | - n=0 | - n=0 | - n=0 |
| Funding extreme | 1 | - n=0 | - n=0 | - n=0 |
| High-impact news | 1 | - n=1 | - n=0 | - n=0 |
A hit means the price moved the way the signal said. The rate shows a dash below 5 samples, because a small count proves nothing. The move is the average absolute change since the signal.
Average move by JEV impact
| Impact | Signals | 1h | 4h | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market moving | 1 | 0.05% n=1 | - | - |
If JEV ranks impact well, market moving stories should move the price more than notable ones. This table shows whether they do.
Signal log
1 signals, 1 with a graded outcome
| Time | Kind | Asset | Model view | Signal | 1h | 4h | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stablecoin depeg | - | None | apxUSD trades at $0.9897 | - | pending | pending |
Check mark: the price moved the way the model view said. Cross: it moved the other way. Pending: the horizon is not over. A dash: no price was recorded at the due time, so the cell stays empty instead of a guess.