Track record

Our model and paper ledger for prediction markets run privately. A public record opens when the exchange gives written permission.

We will not post numbers from it, and we will not post a chart of it, until then. This page shows nothing that we cannot share.

Every signal that the site logs goes in the public signal log. We record the price 1 h, 4 h, and 24 h later. The scoreboard shows hit rates and average moves, and it shows the misses too.

The log has 2 signals. 0 have at least one graded outcome. Read how we compute each number.

General information, not investment advice or a recommendation. Automated ratings can be wrong. Signals and simulated results are historical or simulated and predict nothing.